Millions of people like to play bridges, and millions of players understand the basic rules of the game. They practice and compete every day. Many people reach a certain level of professionalism and then reach a stable level. Their game stopped improving.
What is the responsibility for this plateau? For many people, the answer is statistical data or more accurate, lacking understanding or knowledge of how to use statistics when playing games.
What is the relationship between statistics and playing bridges, I listen to you? The answer is "a lot." They can and often are obstacles to becoming better bridge players.
For example, let us assume that you are a reporter. Once the opponent opens the lead position, the fake hand will be exposed for everyone to see. You know which cards you hold and which cards are virtual.
Now suppose you are playing a Trump contract. The dummy holds 5 Trump cards and you hold 4 cards for a total of 9 cards. This means your opponent holds 4 ace cards between them.
You need to plan your game. Depending on the cards you hold in the ace, you may need to try to figure out how to assign ace cards between opponents. A 4-0 split may mean that if there is a 2-2 split, the way the game plays will be very different.
You can't determine how cards are split in any given situation, but you can use statistics to give you a better chance. Then you can play the most likely scene - the percentage game. This is not always effective, but in many games it will give you a better chance to win more games.
As you might imagine, there are many statistics related to the playbridge. The best players will remember and will use all players. Those of us who are humble, family or club players will remember some - we think the most useful to us, we will be able to understand the use.
So, go back to our Trump division. Although we are planning our game, in our opinion, the 4-0 Trump split between opponents will require us to play different matches with a score of 2-2 or a score of 3-1. We can't know how they split, and we might not be able to plan all three things. So which one should we choose the most likely?
Statistics tell us that the probability of a 4-0 split is 10%. However, the provability of 2-2 splitting is 40%, and the probability of 3-1 splitting is 50%. It may not make sense to plan a 4-0 split - although if you understand that these cards will be separated early, you will want to reconsider your plan.
In the case where the 4-0 split may have a significant impact on the number of skills you win, you may feel that you want to test the split in the game [or any litigation of interest] by drawing a round of ace. If one of the opponents appears in the first round, then you know that you are playing against the 4-0 score and can play again.
If you can't test splits, you might want a percentage to play and hope that your approach will pay off.
If there are 5 cards missing from the suit, the percentage change will change. The probability of a 5-0 split is only 4% [if this may happen through a bid, the opponent may have helped you solve the problem]. The probability of 4-1 splitting is 28%, but the probability of 3-2 splitting is 68%. You may wish to develop an initial plan assuming a 3-2 split.
Planning your game is a basic skill, and understanding some basic statistics will help you plan. However, Bridge is a dynamic game and you need to be prepared to reconsider your plan, if the opponent is wrong, or the statistics are not good for you.
Orignal From: How to use statistics in playing cards
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