When trying to make a living from the horse, or even just occasionally want to spend a good day, the subject of predictability emerges. The reason for this is that in addition to getting good odds on everything you bet, you also need to earn often to keep the money. When trying to make money, the possibilities of predictability and fairness are complementary.
Some people think that the teenage race is the most unpredictable, because the horse is young and many people have little racing experience. The statistics illustrate a different story, at least the winning percentage of the favorites. The favorite winning percentage and the average odds of all winners are a good measure of the predictability or authenticity of the game on any track.
For example, look at a track like Florida, where you can have more advanced wallets and famous athletes on a large track like Gulfstream, and on a track like Tampa Bay, small wallets and less well-known training. The same is true of the division. Both tracks are exquisite and you can enjoy the game on any track. Some people say that Gulfstream is a better place to make money, while others like Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's wallets are smaller, so the horses are of lower quality, but the Tampa Bay horses match the horses in the Gulfstream Park. In other words, the game is both controversial, obstaclesome and fun to watch.
However, you will find more long-range shots in Tampa Bay, which may or may not be attractive to you. The reason is that the smaller the wallet, the lower the quality of the horse, and the greater the possibility that the trainer moves. I know that many people will disagree with me, but this is my opinion. I have been playing these two tracks for many years.
Top trainers in Gulfstream training can get the best horses in the country. These horses are healthier and better shaped than the Tampa Bay horses. If you have a horse that can run at the $50,000 claim level, then you should not run it in Tampa Bay. Your horse is better than those horses, so you run it in the Gulf Stream to get a higher wallet. When horses have fewer defects and more capabilities, they are easier to predict in my opinion.
Now, before the fans in Tampa Bay are ready to let the old horse player hang the mob, let me say that your track is a good track and the game is controversial. From an obstacle perspective, if you are looking for good returns and are smart enough to see the ongoing trainer moves, you may find that the TB games are very profitable.
When it comes to horse racing obstacles, predictability and profitability are not always the same. You need to be able to predict results better than the crowd. Many people who try to stop the onset of tuberculosis hope that these horses will form like horses. There are some very good trainers in TB, they are experts who can determine the condition of the horses, adjust the equipment and training, and win at a reasonable price.
So what I am saying is that higher wallets and higher quality horses can provide a more predictable game, but when you bet on horses, predictability and profitability are not always the same. If you know enough about trainers and how they succeed in their work, you may find that small tracks like Tampa Bay are more in line with your preferences. On the other hand, if you need more predictability and you are willing to sacrifice for the winner and lower the odds, then Gulfstream Park also has some excellent games.
Orignal From: Horse Racing Disorders Lesson 3 - Which competition is the most predictable?
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